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Former Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić conceded that his side lost the Oct. 25 snap parliamentary election to the student-led “Student List — Students Win” movement, citing a stratified sample rather than final results. He estimated the student list would win 135 to 140 seats and his Serbian Progressive Party about 105; the official count and the outcome for minority lists were still unclear in the report.
Aleksandar Vučić, Serbia’s former president, conceded that his side lost the Oct. 25 snap parliamentary election to the student-led “Student List — Students Win” movement, but said final results had not been issued. Citing a stratified sample, Vučić estimated the opposition would take 135 to 140 seats and his Serbian Progressive Party around 105, a result that would shift the balance of power in parliament if confirmed.
Vučić made the concession at the Serbian Progressive Party headquarters, according to Meduza’s report. He said the figures came from a stratified sample and stressed that the count was not final. The estimates he gave put the student-led list ahead by roughly 30 to 35 seats, although the number of seats each list will receive remains subject to official results.
Vučić initially said no other parties or lists had won seats in parliament. He later qualified that statement, saying some national minority lists might have secured representation. The report did not provide final seat totals or specify which minority lists could enter parliament.
After the concession, residents celebrated in streets and from balconies across Serbia, with songs, car horns and whistles, the newspaper Danas reported. The report described public reactions but did not establish how widespread the celebrations were or provide an official account of the election result.
A Potential Shift in Serbia’s Parliament
If the preliminary estimates are borne out, the student-led opposition would hold substantially more seats than the Serbian Progressive Party, marking a significant political setback for Vučić’s camp. The result could give the movement a central role in parliament and in decisions about forming a government. The exact political consequences depend on the official seat allocation and whether other lists, including minority lists, win representation.
The election also tests whether a movement that grew out of protests can convert public mobilization into parliamentary representation. For voters and Serbia’s political parties, the difference between the sample-based estimate and the certified result will matter: seat counts determine the legislature’s composition and shape negotiations over what comes next.
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From Protests to the Ballot
Serbia held the snap parliamentary election on Oct. 25. The main challenger described in the report was “Student List — Students Win,” formally established just over a month before the vote. The list grew out of protests that began in Serbia in 2024, according to Meduza.
Vučić had resigned as president in late September and had planned to become prime minister if his side won the election, the report said. His concession therefore concerns a contest tied to his planned return to government in a different role. The report does not detail the circumstances of his resignation or the campaign’s full results, so those points cannot be used to explain the vote beyond the timeline given.
““We don’t have the final results yet. Based on a stratified sample, it’s clear that we lost this election. The student-blockader list won: they’ll have 135 to 140 seats, and we’ll have around 105.””
— Aleksandar Vučić, speaking at Serbian Progressive Party headquarters, as quoted by Meduza
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Final Seat Count Still Pending
The report does not provide the official final results, the authority responsible for issuing them, or a timetable for their release. Vučić’s figures are preliminary estimates from a stratified sample; it is not yet clear whether the final count will match them.
It also remains unclear which national minority lists may have won seats. Vučić first said no other lists had gained representation, then said some minority lists might have done so. The report does not say whether any party has challenged the count or provide details about turnout, vote shares or the final distribution of seats.
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Official Results and Government Formation
The next key development is publication of the final election results and seat allocation. Until those figures are available, the parliamentary balance described by Vučić remains provisional. The report does not give a date for final certification or describe any formal complaints process.
Once the count is settled, the makeup of parliament will clarify which lists hold seats and what political arrangements may be possible. Vučić had said he intended to become prime minister if his side won, but the report does not state what role he plans to pursue after conceding defeat. The student-led list’s next steps and the timing of any government-formation process are also not specified.
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Key Questions
Who won Serbia’s Oct. 25 parliamentary election?
Vučić conceded defeat and said a stratified sample showed the student-led “Student List — Students Win” movement ahead. Final results were still pending in the report.
How many seats did Vučić estimate each side would win?
He estimated the student list would win 135 to 140 seats and his Serbian Progressive Party around 105. Those figures were not presented as final results.
Are the election results final?
No final count was reported. Vučić explicitly said the results were not final and based his concession on a stratified sample.
Could other lists enter parliament?
Possibly. Vučić first said no other lists had won seats, then said some national minority lists might have secured representation. The report did not identify them or confirm their seat totals.
What was Vučić’s plan if his side won?
According to the report, the former president had planned to become prime minister if his side won. It did not say what he plans to do after conceding defeat.
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